Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Monaco is likely to win this match with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 27.68%, while a draw has a probability of 22.81%. The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 1-2, with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 8.01% and 0-1 with a probability of 7.8%. The most probable Toulouse win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.82%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.32%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Toulouse | Monaco | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.32 | 1.84 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 27.68% | 22.81% | 49.28% |
Imp Odds | 3.61 | 4.38 | 2.03 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.25% | 23.52 |
1.5 | 17.68% | 5.66 |
2.5 | 38.88% | 2.57 |
3.5 | 61.19% | 1.63 |
4.5 | 78.81% | 1.27 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.75% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 82.32% | 1.21 |
2.5 | 61.12% | 1.64 |
3.5 | 38.81% | 2.58 |
4.5 | 21.19% | 4.72 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 23.52 | 4.25% |
0-1 | 12.81 | 7.80% |
0-2 | 13.96 | 7.16% |
0-3 | 22.82 | 4.38% |
1-0 | 17.78 | 5.62% |
1-1 | 9.69 | 10.32% |
1-2 | 10.56 | 9.47% |
1-3 | 17.26 | 5.79% |
2-0 | 26.90 | 3.72% |
2-1 | 14.66 | 6.82% |
2-2 | 15.97 | 6.26% |
2-3 | 26.10 | 3.83% |
3-0 | 61.02 | 1.64% |
3-1 | 33.25 | 3.01% |
3-2 | 36.23 | 2.76% |
3-3 | 59.22 | 1.69% |
Any Other Home Win | 24.34 | 4.11% |
Any Other Away Win | 12.48 | 8.01% |
Any Other Draw | 353.62 | 0.28% |