Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Marseille is likely to win this match with a probability of 79.4%. A win for Metz has a probability of 5.44%, while a draw has a probability of 15.11%. The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 19.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 17.5% and 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The most probable Metz win is 0-1 with a probability of 2.89%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 6.86%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Marseille | Metz | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.26 | 0.42 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 79.40% | 15.11% | 5.44% |
| Imp Odds | 1.26 | 6.62 | 18.39 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.86% | 14.57 |
| 1.5 | 25.25% | 3.96 |
| 2.5 | 49.88% | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 71.87% | 1.39 |
| 4.5 | 86.60% | 1.15 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.14% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 74.75% | 1.34 |
| 2.5 | 50.12% | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 28.13% | 3.55 |
| 4.5 | 13.40% | 7.46 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 6.86% | 14.57 |
| 0-1 | 2.89% | 34.63 |
| 0-2 | 0.61% | 164.59 |
| 0-3 | 0.09% | 1,173.42 |
| 1-0 | 15.50% | 6.45 |
| 1-1 | 6.52% | 15.33 |
| 1-2 | 1.37% | 72.88 |
| 1-3 | 0.19% | 519.61 |
| 2-0 | 17.50% | 5.71 |
| 2-1 | 7.36% | 13.58 |
| 2-2 | 1.55% | 64.55 |
| 2-3 | 0.22% | 460.19 |
| 3-0 | 13.17% | 7.59 |
| 3-1 | 5.54% | 18.04 |
| 3-2 | 1.17% | 85.75 |
| 3-3 | 0.16% | 611.34 |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.15% | 5.22 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.07% | 1,499.83 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 9,906.73 |
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