Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Monaco is likely to win this match with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Montpellier has a probability of 23.92%, while a draw has a probability of 19.31%. The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is “Any Other Away Wins“, with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.75% and 1-3 with a probability of 6.92%. The most probable Montpellier win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 5.61%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.31%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Monaco to win the match, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.93 for Monaco win, which is higher than the 1.78 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On Goals
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Montpellier | Monaco | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.52 | 2.38 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 23.92% | 19.31% | 56.20% |
| Imp Odds | 4.18 | 5.18 | 1.78 |
Goals Over/Under Based On Goals
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.02% | 49.60 |
| 1.5 | 9.89% | 10.11 |
| 2.5 | 25.25% | 3.96 |
| 3.5 | 45.24% | 2.21 |
| 4.5 | 64.76% | 1.54 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.98% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.11% | 1.11 |
| 2.5 | 74.75% | 1.34 |
| 3.5 | 54.76% | 1.83 |
| 4.5 | 35.24% | 2.84 |
Correct Score Based On Goals
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 2.02% | 49.60 |
| 0-1 | 4.80% | 20.81 |
| 0-2 | 5.73% | 17.47 |
| 0-3 | 4.55% | 21.99 |
| 1-0 | 3.07% | 32.62 |
| 1-1 | 7.31% | 13.69 |
| 1-2 | 8.71% | 11.48 |
| 1-3 | 6.92% | 14.46 |
| 2-0 | 2.33% | 42.89 |
| 2-1 | 5.56% | 18.00 |
| 2-2 | 6.62% | 15.10 |
| 2-3 | 5.26% | 19.01 |
| 3-0 | 1.18% | 84.62 |
| 3-1 | 2.82% | 35.50 |
| 3-2 | 3.36% | 29.80 |
| 3-3 | 2.67% | 37.51 |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.61% | 17.82 |
| Any Other Away Wins | 15.98% | 6.26 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.70% | 142.65 |
Find your next winning bet: Our expert predictions for upcoming Ligue 1 matches.