Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Arsenal is likely to win this match with a probability of 74.41%. A win for Wolves has a probability of 8.48%, while a draw has a probability of 15.92%. The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-2, with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 with a probability of 11.56% and 0-3 with a probability of 10.77%. The most probable Wolves win is 1-0 with a probability of 3.2%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.56%.
This match offers an opportunity to place a bet on Arsenal to win and on the total goals being over 2,5 considering that our model projects an average of 3 goals based on expected goals (XG) and 3 goals based on actual goals scored statistics.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Arsenal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.65 | 2.36 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 8.48% | 15.92% | 74.41% |
| Imp Odds | 11.80 | 6.28 | 1.34 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.89% | 20.46 |
| 1.5 | 19.64% | 5.09 |
| 2.5 | 41.91% | 2.39 |
| 3.5 | 64.31% | 1.55 |
| 4.5 | 81.22% | 1.23 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.11% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 80.36% | 1.24 |
| 2.5 | 58.09% | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 35.69% | 2.80 |
| 4.5 | 18.78% | 5.32 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 20.46 | 4.89% |
| 0-1 | 8.65 | 11.56% |
| 0-2 | 7.32 | 13.67% |
| 0-3 | 9.28 | 10.77% |
| 1-0 | 31.30 | 3.20% |
| 1-1 | 13.23 | 7.56% |
| 1-2 | 11.19 | 8.93% |
| 1-3 | 14.20 | 7.04% |
| 2-0 | 95.75 | 1.04% |
| 2-1 | 40.49 | 2.47% |
| 2-2 | 34.25 | 2.92% |
| 2-3 | 43.45 | 2.30% |
| 3-0 | 439.46 | 0.23% |
| 3-1 | 185.84 | 0.54% |
| 3-2 | 157.18 | 0.64% |
| 3-3 | 199.41 | 0.50% |
| Any Other Home Win | 274.68 | 0.36% |
| Any Other Away Win | 9.83 | 10.17% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,938.84 | 0.05% |
Full-time Result Based On Goals
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Arsenal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.60 | 2.41 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 7.35% | 15.08% | 76.22% |
| Imp Odds | 13.61 | 6.63 | 1.31 |
Goals Over/Under Based On Goals
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.94% | 20.24 |
| 1.5 | 19.80% | 5.05 |
| 2.5 | 42.15% | 2.37 |
| 3.5 | 64.55% | 1.55 |
| 4.5 | 81.40% | 1.23 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.06% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 80.20% | 1.25 |
| 2.5 | 57.85% | 1.73 |
| 3.5 | 35.45% | 2.82 |
| 4.5 | 18.60% | 5.38 |
Correct Score Based On Goals
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 4.94% | 20.24 |
| 0-1 | 11.90% | 8.40 |
| 0-2 | 14.34% | 6.97 |
| 0-3 | 11.52% | 8.68 |
| 1-0 | 2.96% | 33.82 |
| 1-1 | 7.12% | 14.04 |
| 1-2 | 8.58% | 11.65 |
| 1-3 | 6.89% | 14.51 |
| 2-0 | 0.88% | 113.07 |
| 2-1 | 2.13% | 46.93 |
| 2-2 | 2.57% | 38.96 |
| 2-3 | 2.06% | 48.51 |
| 3-0 | 0.18% | 566.92 |
| 3-1 | 0.42% | 235.31 |
| 3-2 | 0.51% | 195.34 |
| 3-3 | 0.41% | 243.24 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.26% | 379.61 |
| Any Other Away Win | 9.97% | 10.03 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.04% | 2,546.96 |
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