Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lille is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Strasbourg has a probability of 32.24%, while a draw has a probability of 26.26%. The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1, with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.72% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.27%. The most probable Strasbourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.49%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Strasbourg | Lille | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.20 | 1.40 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 32.24% | 26.26% | 41.42% |
Imp Odds | 3.10 | 3.81 | 2.41 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 7.45% | 13.42 |
1.5 | 26.80% | 3.73 |
2.5 | 51.93% | 1.93 |
3.5 | 73.67% | 1.36 |
4.5 | 87.79% | 1.14 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 92.55% | 1.08 |
1.5 | 73.20% | 1.37 |
2.5 | 48.07% | 2.08 |
3.5 | 26.33% | 3.80 |
4.5 | 12.21% | 8.19 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 13.42 | 7.45% |
0-1 | 9.60 | 10.41% |
0-2 | 13.75 | 7.27% |
0-3 | 29.52 | 3.39% |
1-0 | 11.19 | 8.94% |
1-1 | 8.01 | 12.49% |
1-2 | 11.46 | 8.72% |
1-3 | 24.61 | 4.06% |
2-0 | 18.65 | 5.36% |
2-1 | 13.35 | 7.49% |
2-2 | 19.11 | 5.23% |
2-3 | 41.03 | 2.44% |
3-0 | 46.65 | 2.14% |
3-1 | 33.39 | 2.99% |
3-2 | 47.80 | 2.09% |
3-3 | 102.63 | 0.97% |
Any Other Home Win | 31.02 | 3.22% |
Any Other Away Win | 27.86 | 3.59% |
Any Other Draw | 915.45 | 0.11% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Strasbourg | Lille | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.86 | 1.08 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 28.60% | 31.23% | 40.14% |
Imp Odds | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.49 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 14.48% | 6.91 |
1.5 | 42.46% | 2.36 |
2.5 | 69.49% | 1.44 |
3.5 | 86.91% | 1.15 |
4.5 | 95.32% | 1.05 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 85.52% | 1.17 |
1.5 | 57.54% | 1.74 |
2.5 | 30.51% | 3.28 |
3.5 | 13.09% | 7.64 |
4.5 | 4.68% | 21.38 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 14.48% | 6.91 |
0-1 | 15.57% | 6.42 |
0-2 | 8.37% | 11.94 |
0-3 | 3.00% | 33.32 |
1-0 | 12.41% | 8.06 |
1-1 | 13.35% | 7.49 |
1-2 | 7.18% | 13.94 |
1-3 | 2.57% | 38.87 |
2-0 | 5.32% | 18.80 |
2-1 | 5.72% | 17.48 |
2-2 | 3.08% | 32.52 |
2-3 | 1.10% | 90.70 |
3-0 | 1.52% | 65.81 |
3-1 | 1.63% | 61.19 |
3-2 | 0.88% | 113.80 |
3-3 | 0.32% | 317.46 |
Any Other Home Win | 1.12% | 89.21 |
Any Other Away Win | 1.36% | 73.70 |
Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,309.30 |