Wolves vs Fulham

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Wolves is likely to win this match with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Fulham has a probability of 22.81%, while a draw has a probability of 23.82%. The most likely scoreline for a Wolves win is 1-0, with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.74% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 9.5%. The most probable Fulham win is 0-1 with a probability of 6.56%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.31%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Wolves to win. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.6, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.81 (based on goal statistics) and 1.87 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Wolves a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.