Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fiorentina is likely to win this match with a probability of 61.01%. A win for Salernitana has a probability of 15.93%, while a draw has a probability of 25.47%. The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 12.39% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 10.1%. The most probable Salernitana win is 0-1 with a probability of 6.15%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.8%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fiorentina | Salernitana | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.76 | 0.77 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 61.01% | 23.06% | 15.93% |
| Imp Odds | 1.64 | 4.34 | 6.28 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.04% | 12.44 |
| 1.5 | 28.31% | 3.53 |
| 2.5 | 53.85% | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 75.31% | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 88.84% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.96% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 71.69% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.15% | 2.17 |
| 3.5 | 24.69% | 4.05 |
| 4.5 | 11.16% | 8.96 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.44 | 8.04% |
| 0-1 | 16.26 | 6.15% |
| 0-2 | 42.48 | 2.35% |
| 0-3 | 166.56 | 0.60% |
| 1-0 | 7.09 | 14.11% |
| 1-1 | 9.26 | 10.80% |
| 1-2 | 24.20 | 4.13% |
| 1-3 | 94.87 | 1.05% |
| 2-0 | 8.07 | 12.39% |
| 2-1 | 10.55 | 9.48% |
| 2-2 | 27.57 | 3.63% |
| 2-3 | 108.08 | 0.93% |
| 3-0 | 13.79 | 7.25% |
| 3-1 | 18.02 | 5.55% |
| 3-2 | 47.11 | 2.12% |
| 3-3 | 184.69 | 0.54% |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.90 | 10.10% |
| Any Other Away Win | 173.95 | 0.57% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,083.37 | 0.05% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fiorentina | Salernitana | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.22 | 0.77 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 70.48% | 18.03% | 11.44% |
| Imp Odds | 1.42 | 5.55 | 8.74 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.03% | 19.89 |
| 1.5 | 20.06% | 4.99 |
| 2.5 | 42.53% | 2.35 |
| 3.5 | 64.94% | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 81.69% | 1.22 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.97% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 79.94% | 1.25 |
| 2.5 | 57.47% | 1.74 |
| 3.5 | 35.06% | 2.85 |
| 4.5 | 18.31% | 5.46 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 5.03% | 19.89 |
| 0-1 | 3.86% | 25.92 |
| 0-2 | 1.48% | 67.56 |
| 0-3 | 0.38% | 264.13 |
| 1-0 | 11.17% | 8.95 |
| 1-1 | 8.58% | 11.66 |
| 1-2 | 3.29% | 30.39 |
| 1-3 | 0.84% | 118.82 |
| 2-0 | 12.42% | 8.05 |
| 2-1 | 9.53% | 10.49 |
| 2-2 | 3.66% | 27.34 |
| 2-3 | 0.94% | 106.90 |
| 3-0 | 9.20% | 10.87 |
| 3-1 | 7.06% | 14.16 |
| 3-2 | 2.71% | 36.90 |
| 3-3 | 0.69% | 144.26 |
| Any Other Home Win | 18.38% | 5.44 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.57% | 175.19 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.08% | 1,262.68 |