Lazio vs Juventus

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Juventus is likely to win this match with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio has a probability of 25.56%, while a draw has a probability of 45.85%. The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 0-1, with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.45% and 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The most probable Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.97%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Juventus to win. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.58, higher than our model’s predictions of 2.08 (based on goal statistics) and 2.18 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Juventus a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.