Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Napoli is likely to win this match with a probability of **49.81%**. A win for Atalanta has a probability of **26.29%**, while a draw has a probability of **23.87%**. The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 2-1, with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 9.51% and “**Any Other Home Win**” with a probability of 9.24%. The most probable Atalanta win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.61%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.22%.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Napoli | Atalanta | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.71 | 1.18 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 49.81% | 23.87% | 26.29% |

Imp Odds | 2.01 | 4.19 | 3.80 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 5.56% | 17.97 |

1.5 | 21.64% | 4.62 |

2.5 | 44.85% | 2.23 |

3.5 | 67.21% | 1.49 |

4.5 | 83.36% | 1.20 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 94.44% | 1.06 |

1.5 | 78.36% | 1.28 |

2.5 | 55.15% | 1.81 |

3.5 | 32.79% | 3.05 |

4.5 | 16.64% | 6.01 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 17.97 | 5.56% |

0-1 | 15.25 | 6.56% |

0-2 | 25.87 | 3.87% |

0-3 | 65.84 | 1.52% |

1-0 | 10.51 | 9.51% |

1-1 | 8.92 | 11.22% |

1-2 | 15.13 | 6.61% |

1-3 | 38.50 | 2.60% |

2-0 | 12.29 | 8.14% |

2-1 | 10.43 | 9.59% |

2-2 | 17.69 | 5.65% |

2-3 | 45.03 | 2.22% |

3-0 | 21.56 | 4.64% |

3-1 | 18.29 | 5.47% |

3-2 | 31.04 | 3.22% |

3-3 | 78.99 | 1.27% |

Any Other Home Win | 10.82 | 9.24% |

Any Other Away Win | 42.29 | 2.36% |

Any Other Draw | 577.64 | 0.17% |

**Find your next winning bet: Our expert predictions for upcoming Serie A matches.**